The iPhone 7 release date has become a matter of great concern for those who are already looking forward to the next big thing, and for those who missed the upgrade window on the current iPhone 6 and want to know how long they have to wait. For its part, Apple has yet to offer any public guidance on the matter. But Cupertino’s launch patterns and its recent moves allow for educated guesses as to when the i7 is coming, along with the accompanying iOS 9 software. Here are the odds for three different potential release dates.
iPhone 7 release date in Sept 2015: 40% There are two different paths Cupertino can take to get this point. One is to launch the iPhone 6S this spring alongside the Watch, in the hopes of giving both products a boost. The iPhone 7 would then follow in the fall. The other is to stick with the iPhone 6 for a full year and then launch the iPhone 7 at $199 and the 6S at $99 simultaneously. This would successfully push the outdated 5S and 5C out of the lineup entirely. The motivation for doing this comes from the fact that consumers haven’t generally warmed to “S” models, meaning Apple is better off introducing the iPhone 7 just a year after the 6, not two years after. And there’s the fact that more people are now upgrade-eligible every year thanks to trade-in programs, instead of every other year.
iPhone 7 release date in 2016: 60%: There are three different possibilities here, but because they’re both so far away, we’ll lump them in together. If Apple launches the 6S in the spring of this year, then it may follow with the iPhone 7 in the fall, or it may then decide to keep the 6S around for a year and launch the iPhone 7 in the spring of 2016. If Apple holds onto the iPhone 6 for a year and then introduces the 6S, then the iPhone 7 release date could come as late as September 2016. In order words, if this year comes and goes without an iPhone 7, all bets are off.